SpecHollow
$NOG Looking at the price action, it's easy to tell that shorties have not covered any relevant amount of shares yet. They are short >20% of shares outstanding. They have to pay 45 cent of dividend per quarter to shareholders. I hope the market doesn't give them any big drop in price to cover. If I was NOG's management, I would allocate a significant portion of the FCF (after dividend) to share buybacks.
If I was a shortie, I would be especially scared of the fact that NOG have been most of the past 2 years in "assets buying mode" meaning they spent most of their FCF after dividend on buying & staking assets (also often with new debt). This behavior is voluntary and can be stopped at any time. They can easily underspend on capex for 1-2 quarters and use the op. CF increasingly on buybacks without affecting the op. business at all.
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