DrabCrab5
$PACS hard to know what thing or combination of things is currently holding this back. I remain bullish on the next 6-18 months based on what we know.
1) It is possible that the market does not love either or both of the large deals PACS has announced… both are a departure from the historical strategy of buying highly distressed assets and rehabbing them.
2) Investors may not like PACS taking on more debt during a hate hiking cycle. IMO they should be quite insulated from rate hikes given their business model. Even after these deals close, PACS still will carry a very modest debt load for its cash flow characteristics.
3) Perhaps some investors sold out ahead of what they now view as a more near-term answer on settlement with the government / what $ impact it has.
4) Perhaps topline growth remains a concern, and PACS forward multiple is compressing to reflect a business investors believe is worth 10-12x instead of 13-15x.
5) Mgmt selling is expected, but not doing us any favors.
3
