ES_F E-Mini S&P 500 Futures

$ES_F Update 2 The IB high was broken & the OVN high was tested again. At first, this level was rejected one more time. As a result, the market consolidated between the IB high & OVN high, where the IB was defended numerous times indicating Buyers maintained control. Finally, the OVN high was broken triggering the Bullish scenario outlined in the plan. Price then extended toward the 1st upside target and then pulled back a bit. Let’s see if the Buyers have traction in the final hours of the session & reaches the next target, which aligns with the 4-Day Balance high $SPX $SPY

$ES_F Update The prior month’s high region was rejected with the market pulling back into the open. The market then consolidated within the IB area. Currently, the market is making an attempt at breaking above the IB high. Buyers must achieve acceptance above the OVN high (prior month’s high) to trigger the Bullish scenario outlined in the plan. If successful, see the upside targets in the plan 👇 If this fails, then expect more rotational price action between the OVN high & the OVN low (today’s daily pivot) $SPX $SPY

$ES_F $NQ_F $SPY SP Futures, 2h chart, new painted , but the same sence as in message below, where you see 5 times triple (ABC) or so called 33333 formation. A and C are impulces, and B can take such shapes you wont be lucky at all, like Todays, the true SAW. Remember, this crazy market can throw always "own suprise", this here is only my opinion based on years of experience.

$ES_F Update 2 The IB high (1st upside target) was broken on the rebound but fell shy of a few points to reach the all-time high or the next upside target. The market has now pulled back & price broke back below the IB high. The $SPX, $SPY & $NDX are already at new all-time record highs. Let’s see if we get a rally on the ES in the final hours of the session & make new record highs

$ES_F How we saw it back in March 2026 @ Elliottwave-Forecast Looking for price to enter the blue box and then turn higehr to resume the rally. #Elliottwave #ES_F #Nasdaq #Indices #Trading

$ES_F 7835 key level here or could get more hectic. So far an initial reaction off support

$ES_F Shorted 7827 on retest short after the close below 7827, but trimmed at 7820 untested k10 and if k10 7820/30 zone regains will be closing last 1/2 27 short as on 7820 regain, 7810 could be the low for now. Target below is 7813.75 on last 1/2 size if no one regain on k10 (7828.75 untested above now and 13.75 below)

$ES_F The momentum did catch up between 60.5/65 zone on way up so moving stop now just below 7853 from that initial entry at 7832.75. The pivot was just breached. There is now no resistance before 7772.5, so set the target there (72/82 area is the range of targets from the 4 charts that triggered bullish momentum set-ups this week). Great week of trading,hope some of you enjoyed it!

$ES_F Nice run bulls, bears finally cracked it. Overnight down 📉🔴 7700s retest #sp500 #futurestrading $SPY $SPX $DXY $QQQ

$ES_F update from 1 October looking for the Index to find support at 7639 - 7672 area for further upside #elliottwave

$ES_F found buyers in the blue box and reacted higher as expected. March 31, 2026 daily chart @ Elliottwave-Forecast shows price reached the blue box and has started to react higher. #Elliottwave #ES_F #Nasdaq #Indices #Trading

$ES_F How we saw it back in March 2026 @ Elliottwave-Forecast Expecting price to reach the blue box and buyers to appear to resume the rally. #Elliottwave #ES_F #Nasdaq #Indices #Trading

If you’re wondering what a look above and fail looks like we just saw a clean example right at our 7780 level for ES_F. Price runs up on almost the heaviest volume of the session, pulls back, tries to get back above the level and fails. We then saw a nice clean move to our next level on the downside at 7760. Very clean trade and this type of action happens on all time frames. I highly suggest you do some homework and watch the replay and how price reacts at our levels which is something I talk about every day. $ES_F, $SPY

Futures reopen at 18:00 ET, Monday, October 5. The day session finished green across all four indexes and that is what carries into the overnight: ES 7830.0, NQ 31339.5, YM 51598.0 up 185 points, RTY 2868.5 up 19.60. The small-cap and Dow bid is the tell here — this wasn't a three-stock tape, breadth participated. Treat the day's range as accepted until the overnight proves otherwise; the reopen's job is to tell us whether Asia defends that close or fades it back into Friday's territory. The one thing that doesn't fit: VIX 15.52, up 1.37 on a green day. Vol bid into an up close is a divergence, not a confirmation. Either hedgers are paying up ahead of the week's catalysts or the move lacked conviction underneath. Watch whether VIX gives that back in the Globex hours — if it holds above 15.5 while futures sit flat, the overnight lean is defensive regardless of what the index prints look like. Options structure is the map. SPY 774.83 sits above the 770.14 gamma flip in positive gamma, with the put wall at 760.0 and the call wall far out at 810.0 — a wide corridor, dealers dampening moves, which argues for range overnight rather than trend. QQQ is the more interesting board: 756.2 pressed right up against the 760.0 call wall with a put/call ratio of 2.43 and put OI more than double call OI. That's a heavily hedged tech book sitting under its ceiling. The 749.52 flip is the line that matters if the overnight softens. IWM 283.38 is under its 286.0 call wall with the 279.45 flip as the floor — same shape, less crowded. Cross-asset: the dollar is bleeding, DXY 102.12 down 0.38, and that's the tailwind the equity bid was riding. Bonds sold alongside — ZB 102.19 down 0.81, ZN 104.25 down 0.23 — so yields moved higher into the close; a weaker dollar with rising yields is a risk-on mix, not a flight. Oil 89.3 slipped 0.62 and isn't injecting volatility either direction right now. Gold 4167.6 flat. Copper 6.63 ticked higher, consistent with the cyclical bid in RTY and YM. Crypto is quiet, BTC $85,941 within a tight day range. Overnight watch zones: SPY 770.14 flip is the first real test if the close gets faded; QQQ 760.0 is the lid that has to break for tech to extend, and 749.52 is where the gamma regime flips. Asia setup leans risk-on on the dollar and copper, but VIX hasn't signed off. Next FOMC is October 27-28; nothing on the calendar forces the overnight. Watch whether the reopen holds the day's gains through the first hour of Asia — acceptance there keeps the corridor intact, rejection turns the day session into a trap. $ES_F

$ES_F I posted this hourly chart last nigt and there are no changes currently. The reason I alerted to that long at 7786 yeterday in real time is on 1 hour chart there was a bull momentum trigger formed on way up to 7897 highs that triggered on the initial market pullback from that high. The measured max move down = 7795 and you can see yesterday this is where the 1 hour closed at and never closed below. The mid zone of that set-up is 7834/48, so I want to see this zone hold and price eventually move higher and reach the target at 7882. If the mid zone fails today and itagain closes below 7834 on 1 hour, I would expect an initial failure of that set-up and a lower low below 7795 first. For now Iam long 32.75 and have a very small position left with target 7882.

Bulls are dropping the ball here with SPX as it looks like we are moving back into chop territory. Prices lost the 8MA(7698) yesterday and today they are losing the 21MA(7679) and the Bears are showing a bit of follow through as we are back in this longer term channel. The 50MA(7630) isn’t that far off so I would keep an eye on 7639/30 if we see continued weakenss into PCE and NFP this week. Bulls want to show a look below and fail right here at 7660 and reclaim that 21MA to stop the short term bleeding. ES_F is also testing its 21MA(7724) and you can see the plan from last night for direction here. We already took advantage of the first look below and fail here so I would consider this zone a bit weaker as it has been tested a couple of times. Watch for support around 7705/00 if weakness continues. Overall the markets are looking a bit weak and the Bulls have some work to do if they want to hold on to the breakouts we saw last week. $ES_F, $SPX, $SPY

$ES_F Been covered/TP all the way down here on the retest 👍 Bears failed to run it lower at this time, so we now have an #intraday double bottom reversal setup 📈🟢 back up to some prior highs 7740-50s. 7600s might be a tomorrow or overnight move #rangebound #futurestrading $SPY $SPX $UVIX $QQQ

Futures reopen begins with SPY at 765.61, below the 771.21 gamma flip and sitting just above the 761 put wall. The structure remains negative gamma. That puts the tape in a less forgiving posture: price is below the main pivot, and the 800 call wall is still a long way overhead. QQQ is carrying the same shape. At 736.53, it is below its 739.11 flip, with 745 overhead and 730 below. The index complex opens with both major ETFs under their gamma pivots, not pinned to them. That leaves the first overnight rotations worth more than the headline noise around them. VIX is 16.07, up 8.07. That is the confirmation to respect. Volatility is elevated while SPY and QQQ sit below their flips, so the tape has room to travel rather than being mechanically compressed around a dealer pivot. The levels are clean. SPY has 771.21 as the reclaim line, 761 as the nearby lower shelf, and 800 as the distant ceiling. QQQ has 739.11 as its pivot, 730 below, and 745 overhead. IWM is 280.02, below its 282.71 flip, with 275 and 300 defining its outer structure. Cross-asset pressure is still present. Gold is 4148.0, down 82.50. Oil is 93.32, down 0.67. The dollar is 101.19, up 0.07, while Treasury futures are lower across the curve. None of that settles the equity tape by itself, but it does not offer a clean volatility release valve at the reopen. This is an open reset, not a cash-close replay. The market is entering the overnight session below the major equity pivots with volatility already awake. The first question is whether ES and NQ can hold their reopening balance near 7746.25 and 30556.75. The options map says the pivots above remain the levels that change the tone; the shelves below are where pressure starts becoming structure. $ES_F

$ES_F It's weak price action now. I took 11pts bull profit and trying the 7762 short back down to 7740s++ maybe 7710 retest 📉🔴 #futurestrading $SPY $SPX $UVIX

Wednesday premarket, and the overnight tape is telling a different story than the Tuesday close. SPY went out at 779.09, up 4.26 on the day, and the Q's at 759.66, up 3.46. Since then ES has given back 21 points to 7853.0 and NQ has shed 186.50 to 31296.75. YM is off 167 at 51611.0 and RTY is down 8.30 at 2834.0. That is a broad overnight fade, not a single-index event, and it comes with VIX ticking up 0.60 to 15.61. Not a vol event, but the direction of vol agrees with the direction of futures, and that is the first thing I look at. When vol and price move together overnight, the fade is real money, not thin-book noise. Here is the structural problem for the open. SPY's gamma flip sits at 779.23. The cash close at 779.09 is fourteen cents under it, already on the wrong side by a hair, and the dealer model is still labeled positive gamma with a put/call ratio of 1.297. $ES_F