TOL Toll Brothers Inc.

$TOL | Snapshot 📊⚡ • Business: Toll Brothers, Inc. designs, builds, markets, and finances high-end residential real estate across major metropolitan markets in the United States. • Dark Pool Flow Breakdown: Significant institutional block printing at key support, headlined by a $52.9M print (392K shares) at $135.00 on 09/30, followed by $4.2M at $136.36 on 10/01 and $10.3M at $136.61 on 10/02. Total 498.5K volume totaling $67.5M in premium. • Overall Bias: BULLISH • Rationale: $TOL is holding macro support at $134.27–$135.00, matching heavy institutional buyer absorption. As long as $134.27 holds, the risk-to-reward favors a continuation leg toward $147.20 and $162.70 resistance. 🎯 Key Levels: 🐂 Bull Trigger: $136.61 / $147.20 🚀 Targets: $152.00 / $162.70 / $170.00 🛡 Support: $135.00 / $134.27 ⚠️ Risk: $128.00 / $118.00 #TOL #stocks #finance #hovdid

$TOL Morgan Stanley started coverage on homebuilders today with a split screen: Toll Brothers the only Buy (Overweight, $159 target, ~18% upside), while Lennar, KB Home and NVR all get Underweight. The luxury-vs-volume cut is the whole thesis. Toll sells to wealthy buyers who are less sensitive to mortgage rates, and its pricing power protects margins while the volume builders are fighting higher incentives, completed spec inventory and rising land costs. Street context: 14 of 19 already rate TOL a Buy, average target $166.40. MS at $159 is below the Street average. It is picking the one builder it wants to own, at about 10x earnings.

$TOL Tampa proud boys finally got to spend their dead parents money on an overpriced lennar lookin home for $1.3m sitting in a 3,000 sq ft lot. Meanwhile im on an acre. It’s happening.

U.S. stocks fell for a fourth straight session, with investors focused on Friday’s August CPI report, rising mortgage rates and surging oil prices. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate moved above 7%, pressuring housing stocks. Toll Brothers fell 1.9%, PulteGroup dropped 2% and Hovnanian declined 2.6%, with the three stocks down 21%, 19% and 30%, respectively, from recent highs. Energy remained the only S&P 500 sector in positive territory for the week, gaining 1.7%, as Brent and WTI crude rose about 12% amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Devon Energy and Valero were among the leaders, each up roughly 4% for the week. Oracle will remain in focus after beating earnings expectations and rising 4% in after-hours trading, although the stock remains 56% below its high from a year ago. Investors will also watch Kroger’s earnings before the open Friday, with the grocery retailer’s shares down more than 11% over three months and 25% from their March high. $TOL $PHM $HOV $SPX